Responsible Investor Portfolio Weekly Update, December 12th, 2020 | $TCEHY $NEM $BK $SYF $CLIX $GRUB $PCG $LVMUY $LRLCY $PEUGF $IMPJY $TERRF $DSV.CO $DANSKE.CO $BRK $UMC $JD $ADSK $GMAB $DVA $ROKU $LMND $AMWL $AMT $ADBE $LULU $AVGO

The Big Picture

The pandemic continues to worsen in the US both in terms of daily cases and deaths. Reports now anticipate the peak to occur in January. Additional restrictions have been imposed this week, including the banning of indoor dining in New York and travel restrictions in the state of California. Despite these mitigation measures, the Christmas season is only expected to exacerbate the situation as people gather in any way they can. It surely feels like now would be a good time to pass that stimulus package, however speaker Pelosi is now anticipating the talks to continue over Christmas lengthening the time since they were initiated over summer.

On the data front, this weeks reports were mixed with the jobless claims surpassing 850k which corresponds to the largest week on week increase in the last 3 months. On the flipside, the Michigan University consumer sentiment index for December rose to 81.4 from 76.9 in the prior month.

The FDA advisory board voted in favour of the $PFE vaccine which has started being deployed in the UK. Next Thursday will be the time of the $MRNA vaccine. It seems that the market has already factored in the positive outcome of these emergency authorizations such that any delay to their approval could have an adverse, short-term impact.

Market Performance

The US market indices fell this week, led by the S&P500, down 1.0%, followed by the Nasdaq (-0.7%) and the Dow (-0.6%). The IPO bonanza is seen as one of the factors which caused the sell-off as fund managers rebalanced their portfolios to embellish them with popular names such as $ABNB and $DASH. The Stoxx was also lower (-1.0%) and the Italian index experienced a sharp decline (-2.2%) due political uncertainty. The Danish OMX20 finished 2.0% higher after two consecutive weeks of decline. The US Dollar was mostly unchanged relative to the Euro and gold finished flat.

Earnings

$ADBE beat earnings on Thursday after the market close and upped the 2021 guidance. While the company has seen its growth rate reducing to below 20% per year, it is still in the late teens. $LULU posted a surprised profit in Q3 and grew revenue by 21% yoy. I like them both but feel our exposure to the technology and the consumer discretionary sectors is well balanced in our portfolio at the moment.

In other corporate news, $DIS upped their projected subscriptions at the Investor Day by a factor or three which led the stock to a +15% finish for the week. $AAPL announced they are developing their own cellular modem which sent $QCOM sharply down.

Dividends

This week $NEM went ex-dividend and paid their quarterly dividend. We have one more stock of our portfolio going ex-dividend in December.

Portfolio Performance

We closed our remaining position on $GRUB this week after having halved it back in the middle of October. Overall, the investment yielded a whopping 35% profit.

Our Responsible Investor portfolio is now up 12.3% (13.2% including dividends) in 28 weeks. We are about 55% in stocks & ETFs and 45% in cash. On my watchlist this week I have $DVA, $AMWL, $LMND, $AMT, $AVGO and $ADBE.

The table below summarises the portfolio performance since inception.

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Responsible Investor Portfolio Weekly Update, December 5th, 2020 | $TCEHY $NEM $BK $SYF $CLIX $GRUB $PCG $LVMUY $LRLCY $PEUGF $IMPJY $TERRF $DSV.CO $DANSKE.CO $BRK $UMC $JD $ADSK $GMAB $DVA $ROKU $LMND $AMWL $AMT

The Big Picture

The US jobs report disappointed as only 245k jobs were added in November compared to more than 600k in October. This may well be a sign of the economic recovery slowing down which isn’t all surprising given the worsening situation of the pandemic in the US with Joe Biden intending to require citizens to wear masks for 100 days. Meanwhile the US Congress seems closer to agreeing on a stimulus package after weeks of deadlock as the democrats lower their ask to just below one trillion USD. On the vaccine front the FDA advisory board will meet on December 10th to discuss the approval of the $PFE vaccine and 7 days later for the $MRNA vaccine.

Market Performance

The US market indices were all up this week, led by the Nasdaq which gained 2.1%, followed by the S&P500 (+1.7%) and the Dow (+1.0%). After reaching 30,000 last week, the Dow finished at all times highs again this week. Europe was mixed: the Stoxx was only marginally higher (+0.3%) whereas the Italian index finished 0.8% lower and the OMX20 fell considerably (-2.2%). The US Dollar was weaker, though, and depreciated 1.29% versus the Euro. This weakness sent gold futures higher by 2.9% this week.

Earnings

Some of the stocks we are watching released Q3 earnings this week as the earnings season draws to a close. $DOCU for example beat earnings expectations on both the top and the bottom line: I really like this stock but it is difficult to keep up such a growth rate. On the cybersecurity sector $CRWD also beat earnings and added about 1,200 new customer subscriptions. Ollie’s Bargain Outlet (ticker: $OLLI) beat earnings but it is likely to feel the pressure in Q4 due to mounting concerns about C-19 numbers in the US.

None of our stocks reported earnings this week.

Dividends

This week $MC.PA went ex-dividend and paid a 0.92% dividend. The stock finished lower this week but is now up 28% since inception. Two more stocks of our portfolio go ex-dividend in December.

Portfolio Performance

Our semiconductor stock $UMC is on a tear: with this week’s 27% gain our position is up 55% in just 6 weeks. We haven’t seen any significant news to justify this action and it may just be the market catching up on its compelling valuation: at Friday’s close price, the stock now has a PEG ratio of about 1 which makes it fairly valued.

Our Responsible Investor portfolio is now up 14.9% (15.9% including dividends) in 27 weeks. We are about 56% in stocks & ETFs and 44% in cash. I am always on the lookout for possible new buys and am keen to enter the insurance as well as the telemedicine sectors in the not too distant future. On my watchlist this week I have $DVA, $AMWL, $LMND and $AMT.

The table below summarises the portfolio performance since inception.

If you don’t want to miss my alerts, please subscribe to Responsible Investor or follow me on Twitter. I also run an eToro portfolio which currently has 35+ positions and can be accessed via this link.

Responsible Investor Portfolio Weekly Update, November 28th, 2020 | $TCEHY $NEM $BK $SYF $CLIX $GRUB $PCG $LVMUY $LRLCY $PEUGF $IMPJY $TERRF $DSV.CO $DANSKE.CO $BRK $UMC $JD $ADSK $GMAB $DVA $ROKU $GOOG

The Big Picture

On the US presidential election front, Trump finally gave the green light for an orderly transition and there are now signals of him getting closer to conceding: however remote the possibility of surprises in the transition process was, this is good news for the US markets. President-elect Biden announced some of the prospective cabinet members as well as his pick for the US Treasury, the well-known and respected Janet Yellen; this is another good news, first of all because it would be the first woman to cover that role and secondly because she is known to be lenient towards QE.

Market Performance

All the indices we track were higher this week, especially European stock markets which benefitted from an additional trading day as the US celebrated Thanksgiving on Thursday. In the US, the Nasdaq was up 3% whereas the Dow and the S&P500 gained 2.2 and 2.3%, respectively. The Energy sector led for the second consecutive week. European stock markets went higher, with the Stoxx index gaining 1%, the Italian FTSEMIB ripping 3% and the Danish OMX20 finishing flat. With just one trading day to go, this November could be the best in the stock market history.

Earnings

The Q3 earnings season is almost over. In the S&P500, 84% of the companies beat earnings; however, there was a 6.6% decline in earnings overall this quarter. Healthcare was the best sector with a 13% earnings growth. Check out this cool infographic by Factset for more.

With last week’s 5% increase, our $SYF position is now 43% since we bought it 6 months ago. One of our most recent buys, $UMC, which is an investment in the semiconductor sector, jumped 20% this week following news of capacity increase of their production facilities. It is also worth noting the 7% weekly gain of $ADSK which is up 11% since our purchase 2 weeks ago, with the recent boost triggered by their earnings beat on Tuesday.

Dividends

This week $TRN.MI went ex-dividend and paid a 4.3% dividend bringing the performance in our portfolio to about 9.1% which is very good considering the defensive nature of TSO companies. Three more stocks of our portfolio go ex-dividend in December.

Portfolio Performance

Our Responsible Investor portfolio is now up 13% (14% including dividends) in 6 and half months. We are about 55% in stocks & ETFs and 45% cash. On my watchlist this week I have $DVA, $ROKU and $GOOG.

The table below summarises the portfolio performance since inception.

If you don’t want to miss my alerts, please subscribe to Responsible Investor or follow me on Twitter. I also run an eToro portfolio which currently has 35+ positions and can be accessed via this link.