Responsible Investor Portfolio Update, August 22th, 2020 | $TCEHY $NEM $BK $SYF $CLIX $GRUB $PCG $LVMUY $LRLCY $PEUGF $ELC.MI $WBD.MI

This is a market of contrasts. On the one hand we have increasing Covid-19 numbers all over the world and particularly in Europe where infection cases are going back to April-May levels, and on the other several bullish signals, the most recent one to note being the existing house sales in the US which grew by 25% in July – a rate not seen since 2006.

In the meantime the candidacies of Joe Biden and of his prospective VP Kamala Harris have been formalised at the Democratic Convention and the US stock market did not have a negative reaction. In the past there used to be many articles about how a Democratic government would be unwelcome for corporate America whereas positions seems to be more open to a leadership alternative to Trump of late.

It was a mixed week for the stock market: the MSCI World was flat, Europe was down 1.8% (with Italy loosing 2.42% and the Nasdaq Copenhagen a meager 0.12%) and the US indices were up with the S&P500 growing by 0.7% and the Nasdaq by a whopping 2.7%, whereas the Dow ended the week flat. The Dollar recovered about 0.58% over the Euro.

We have made one purchase on the RI portfolio this week, a relatively new ETF which invests in e-commerce while shorting the bricks & mortar sector. It is basically a combination of two other ETFs I have watched (and still own in another portfolio), $IBUY and $EMTY, and goes by the ticker of $CLIX. Thanks to its long and short positions it adds a lot of alpha to a signle investment: it is up 87% YTD, widely outperforming all the US stock market indices.

Our $SQQQ position hit the SL price at the beginning of the week but I expect that it is more of an arrivederci for this hedge. $TCEHY gapped 7% higher and looks like a break-out is around the corner. With gold recovering most of last week’s losses, $NEM was up 2.7%. On our watchlist we have stocks like $HUBS, $JD and $CSGP.

The table below summarises the portfolio performance since inception.

2000821 RIP

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Responsible Investor Portfolio Update, August 8th, 2020 | $TCEHY $NEM $BK $SYF $GILD $GRUB $SQQQ $SCO $PCG $LVMUY $LRLCY $PEUGF $ELC.MI

Welcome to the ever rising stock market era where nothing that used to matter really matters anymore. One could call it state capitalism.

Another week of growth across the board with the US markets leading the push towards ATHs. With the US presidential election now just 90 days away, chances are that more stimulus and more bubble blowing policies will be implemented. That’s all well and good in the short term, but will happen in the long term ? If momentum is dictating the current market direction, at some point valuations will matter, one would think.

In the meantime our portfolio was basically flat this week due to a couple stinkers, namely $TCEHY -which has been affected by Trump’s attack to Chinese stocks- and Italian Contractor WeBuild which has now dropped below 1.1€ and is very close to my line in the sand. On the positive side, $GRUB becomes our first position to pass the 30% mark, a capital appreciation threshold I use to determine when to have take profit (TP) ready: more on this in future weekly updates.

We have sold our position on $IMA.MI on Monday with a nice +14% profit in just one week ! No other changes to the portfolio this week but there are many stocks on my watchlist, such as $CSPG, $SMSFT and $AMAT.

From this week onwards you will see all the stop loss (SL) prices which have been defined so far. A general rule I follow is to consider a 7 to 10% loss to determine the SL price depending on whether it is a divided stock or not and on the general market performance. The SL price increases if the investment relates to a leveraged ETF. And with every rule, there are always exceptions of course !

The table below summarises the portfolio performance since inception.

2000807 RIP

If you don’t want to miss my alerts, please subscribe to Responsible Investor or follow me on Twitter. I also run an eToro portfolio which currently has 25 positions and can be accessed via this link.

Responsible Investor Portfolio Update, August 1st, 2020 | $TCEHY $NEM $BK $SYF $GILD $GRUB $SQQQ $SCO $PCG $LVMUY $LRLCY $WBD.MI $IMA.MI $ELC.MI

It is surprising how the global stock markets are capable of shrugging off just about any news headline recently. This week was no different. The pandemic keeps wreaking havoc in many developing countries and of course in the US as a second wave in Europe seems inevitable now. Check out these great graphs from the Financial Times.

On Wednesday the CEOs of the largest 4 tech companies, Apple, Amazon, Google and Facebook appeared before a US Congress Committee to be “grilled” on anti-trust accusations. You can’t say anyone of them lost their cool, really, and when the same companies all reported their Q2 earnings after the close the following day on the one hand it seemed that as if there is nothing to stop them from hoarding cash, and on the other it does reinforce the point of whether there is fair competition and reasonable profit.

The US markets were up this week, especially the Nasdaq, while the World Stocks Index was mostly flat. Italy saw a sharp decline, just shy of 5%, and the European stock markets in general were also down (Stoxx index fell by 2.6%). The other stock market we watch closely, the Nasdaq Copenhagen, was less badly hit with a 1.4% loss and continues to outperform most European stock markets.

We keep finding great investment opportunities in the Italian stock market. A classic  rule when it comes to personal finance is to invest in what you know. This past week I have sent two new buy alerts, one for mid-cap in the Industrial sector called IMA (which is already up 14% since my buy alert) and another one for a Consumer Cyclical stock called Elica, both traded on the Italian stock market.

I am disappointed by the recent weakness in WeBuild which tanked 21% this week. This is a good example of why focusing only on valuation is not sufficient to pick (or deciding to stick with) a stock: if the market is against it, you won’t see it grow. With the 38.2% fib level broken, there is the risk of further depreciation. I will look into it more closely in due course and send an alert if I sell/reduce/accumulate.

WBD.MI_YahooFinanceChart

I realised that one of our SQQQ position was incorrectly reported despite the ETF having hit our SL price of 8.1$: apologies for the inconvenience.

So far we have not included dividends in the total return and I will endeavor to add this information in a future update as some of our stocks have already paid a quarterly dividend since the inception of the RI portfolio.

The table below summarises the portfolio performance since inception.

200731 RIP

If you don’t want to miss my alerts, please subscribe to Responsible Investor or follow me on Twitter. I also run an eToro portfolio which currently has 20+ positions and can be accessed via this link.

$LVMUY $LRLCY $BK $SYF $GILD $GRUB $SQQQ $SCO $PCG | Responsible Investor Portfolio Update, June 20th, 2020

The global markets were consistently positive this past week, with Italy’s #FTSEMIB leading with a 3.9% gain. Our RI Portfolio lagged behind due to the hedges I had put in place. I had increased our hedges as I felt the markets were “tired” of going up but the week was largely positive in the end. Well, we are still showing a positive total return and we are only 3 weeks in since inception ! Also, I’d rather always loose on my hedges than on my core positions..

We have initiated 4 new positions this week, all in the European markets: two consumer French large caps, Luis Vuitton and L’Oreal and two Italian stocks, one in the media sector and the other one in the technology sector. We have also accumulated on Pacific Gas and Electric Company. With reduce and accumulate alerts the relative weight of the open positions change of course.

This week’s winners in our RI Portfolio were Italy-based Terna (+8,4% gain) and Grubhub (+6,2% gain).

The USD lost some ground compared to the EUR (0.9%) while there was no impact of the Danish krona. This means that in a portfolio in USD, the European stocks will have lost some of their value.

We now have 14 open positions, 2 of which are leveraged hedges (inverse ETFs). We are almost half way through along the path to achieve a complete portfolio. The table below summarises the portfolio performance since inception and now includes the investment strategy for each position.

200619 RIP

If you don’t want to miss my alerts, please subscribe to Responsible Investor or follow me on Twitter. I also run an eToro portfolio which has 20+ positions and can be accessed via this link.

The much talked about #earnings of #Google and #Facebook in two great infographics | #ActiveInvesting

The consequences of #QE and the next #Eurozone #recession